FXUS01 KWBC 072046
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
445 PM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Valid 00Z Mon Jun 8 2026 - 00Z Wed Jun 10 2026

...Multiple rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms expected for
the Central U.S. through Tuesday...

...Severe weather likely for portions of the Dakotas on Sunday and
Tuesday...

...Hot weather across the Plains and fire weather concerns
continue for the West...


An amplified upper level flow pattern will be in place across the
Continental U.S. through early this week, with a upper trough
situated across the northwestern quadrant of the country, and an
upper ridge axis across the Plains and Midwest. At the interface
of these features will be a couple of organized storm systems that
will affect the northern Plains through Tuesday. High instability
and wind shear profiles are favorable for the development of
severe thunderstorms across the western Dakotas tonight and
another round expected on Tuesday, with a Moderate Risk of severe
storms in the latest SPC convective outlook through tonight. The
main threat with these storms will be damaging straight line winds
from organized lines of intense convection, with hurricane force
wind gusts possible with the strongest storms.

In terms of rainfall, the greatest concentration of slow moving
storms with heavy downpours is forecast to be across eastern
portions of the central Plains through early Monday, and extending
to Kentucky and Tennessee through Tuesday, where the potential
currently exists for 1 to 3 inches of rainfall. There is a Slight
Risk of excessive rainfall from WPC to account for this, extending
from Illinois to northern Georgia. There is also a Moderate Risk
of excessive rainfall through tonight across northern Alabama
where very heavy rainfall has been a problem so far today. Rain is
also expected for western Washington and Oregon with onshore flow
increasing on Monday ahead of the next Pacific cold front.

In terms of temperatures, it will remain hot across the central
Plains going into Monday, but relief arrives across the Dakotas
with a cold front passing though the region. For the East Coast, a
slight cool down along with lower humidity is expected across the
Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast to start the work week as a
moderately strong cold front passes through the region. Across the
Intermountain West, fire weather concerns will continue through
Tuesday, with hot and dry conditions along with gusty winds
creating a favorable environment for potential wild fires.

Hamrick


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php




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